Price analysis 7/30: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, DOGE, DOT, UNI, BCH, LTC

Traders expect altcoins to move higher now that Bitcoin price finally pierced the $41,000 resistance.

Bitcoin (BTC) and most major altcoins seem to be faltering near their respective overhead resistance levels. This suggests that some investors are continuing to sell at higher levels.

However, 21st Paradigm co-founder Dylan LeClair said that on-chain data shows “big transfer volumes from over-the-counter (OTC) desks over the last week.” Cointelegraph also recently highlighted a historic 57,000 BTC outflow from exchanges on July 28.

Ecoinometrics also cited on-chain data to show that “whales” and “small fish” accumulated Bitcoin when the price recovered from $29,400 to over $40,800 this week.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Institutional investors are also not to be left behind in their plans to accumulate more Bitcoin. MicroStrategy, which holds about 105,085 Bitcoin, said in its second-quarter report that the company intends “to deploy additional capital into our digital asset strategy.”

Wealthfront, a popular US-based robo-investment firm $25 billion in assets under management, announced that it would allow its clients to allocate up to 10% of their portfolio into Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust and the Grayscale Ethereum Trust.

With demand increasing from small investors and high-net-worth individuals, will cryptocurrencies stage a sharper recovery? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin formed a Doji candlestick pattern on July 29, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears near the $40,000 mark. That uncertainty briefly resolved to the downside and if the price does not hold its recent surge above $40,000 the price could drop to $36,670.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages have completed a bullish crossover and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive zone, indicating that bulls have the upper hand. If the price rebounds off $36,670, it will suggest that bulls have flipped this level into support.

The buyers will then again try to push the price above the overhead resistance zone at $41,330 to $42,451.67. This may not be easy because bears will try to defend this zone aggressively.

If the price turns down from the zone, the BTC/USDT pair could remain range-bound between $36,670 and $42,451.67 for a few more days. A breakout and close above $42,451.67 will suggest the start of a new uptrend.

The bears will be back in the driver’s seat if they can sink the price back below the moving averages.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) reached the downtrend line today but the bears are defending the resistance aggressively. The price could now drop to $2,200 where buyers may step in and arrest the correction.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages have completed a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive territory, suggesting that bulls have the upper hand. If the price rebounds off the 20-day exponential moving average, the bulls will again try to thrust the price above the downtrend line.

If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could rise to $2,600 and then to $3,000. This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the moving averages. Such a move could sink the price to $2,000 and next to $1,728.74.

BNB/USDT

The bulls pushed Binance Coin (BNB) above the 50-day simple moving average ($310) on July 29 but they could not challenge the overhead resistance at $340. This suggests that buying dries up at higher levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will now try to take advantage of the lack of demand to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($305). A break of this support could result in a drop to the trendline and next to the July 20 low at $254.52.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest buying on dips. The bulls will then make one more attempt to clear the overhead resistance at $340. If they pull it off, the BNB/USDT pair could rise to $379 and next to $400.

ADA/USDT

The failure of the bulls to drive Cardano’s (ADA) price above the 50-day SMA ($1.32) indicates that bears are aggressively defending the resistance.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price breaks below the 20-day EMA ($1.25), short-term traders may close their positions and that could drag the price down to $1.10 and later to $1. A break below $1 could result in long liquidation.

On the other hand, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again try to push the price above the downtrend line. If that happens, the DOT/USDT pair could rise to $1.50 where bears may again mount a stiff resistance.

XRP/USDT

The bulls have failed to push XRP above the $0.75 level for the past two days, which suggests that bears are defending this level aggressively.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the upper hand. If bulls do not allow the price to break below the 20-day EMA ($0.64), the XRP/USDT pair may rise above $0.75. That will complete a double bottom pattern, clearing the path for a possible rally to $1.07.

This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down and plummets below the moving averages. The bears will then try to pull the price to $0.59 and then to $0.50. Such a move will indicate that the range-bound action may continue for a few more days.

DOGE/USDT

The bears have been defending the $0.21 resistance for the past few days but a minor positive is that bulls have not given up much ground. This suggests that buyers are not closing their positions as they anticipate Dogecoin (DOGE) to move up.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flat 20-day EMA ($0.20) and the RSI above 45 suggest a balance between supply and demand. This balance will tilt in favor of the bulls if they can push and sustain the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.23). That may clear the path for a rally to $0.28 and then $0.33.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $0.18, the DOGE/USDT pair may drop to $0.15. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if it gives way, the pair may witness panic selling and drop to $0.10.

DOT/USDT

The bulls pushed Polkadot (DOT) above the 20-day EMA ($14.15) on July 27 but they have not been able to clear the hurdle at the 50-day SMA ($16.05). This suggests that demand dries up at higher levels.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has turned down from the 50-day SMA today and the bears will now try to sink the DOT/USDT pair below the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could drop to $13. A break below this support could sink the pair to $10.37.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again attempt to push the price above the overhead resistance at $16.93. If that happens, it will suggest a change in the short-term trend. The pair could then start its journey to $20 and later to $26.50.

UNI/USDT

The bulls are attempting to push Uniswap (UNI) above the downtrend line but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears have other plans.

UNI/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the current level but stays above the 20-day EMA ($18.50), it will indicate that bulls are buying on dips. That will improve the likelihood of a break above the downtrend line, invalidating the descending triangle pattern.

The UNI/USDT pair could then rise to $24 and if this level is crossed, the up-move may reach $30. Conversely, if bears pull the price below the moving averages, the pair may decline to $17.24 and then to the critical support at $13.

Related: Who takes gold in the crypto and blockchain Olympics?

BCH/USDT

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is facing stiff resistance at $546.83. This suggests that bears are attempting to defend the resistance of the range and extend the consolidation for a few more days.

BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bears pull the price below the moving averages, the BCH/USDT pair could witness further selling and drop to $441.17. A break below this level will open the doors for a further slide to the critical support at $383.53.

On the other hand, if bulls do not allow the price to drop below the moving averages, it will enhance the prospects of a break above $546.83. If that happens, the double bottom pattern will complete and the BCH/USDT pair could start its journey toward the target objective at $710.13.

LTC/USDT

Although bulls pushed Litecoin (LTC) above the 50-day SMA ($137) on July 28, they could not clear the hurdle at the overhead resistance at $146.54. This indicates that bears have not yet given up.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If sellers pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($130), the LTC/USDT pair could start its downward journey to the critical support at $103.83. Such a move will indicate that the pair may remain range-bound for a few more days.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will make one more attempt to push the price above $146.54. If they succeed, the pair will complete a double bottom pattern, which has a target objective at $189.25.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

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Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: BTC, BCH, EOS, XMR, XTZ

Bitcoin is facing minor resistance near $50,000 but if this psychological barrier is crossed, a major breakout could occur in select altcoins.

Demand and supply metrics determine the price of an asset and data from Glassnode, an on-chain data firm, shows that Bitcoin’s (BTC) liquid supply has been decreasing since June 2020. This signals that traders owning Bitcoin are not selling their holdings.

While the supply is shrinking, demand has been going up in the past few months as an increasing number of institutional investors have been buying Bitcoin.

Bloomberg recently reported that Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s subsidiary Cointerpoint Global “is exploring whether the cryptocurrency would be a suitable option for its investors.”

According to Morgan Stanley’s website, Counterpoint Global chooses to invest in assets “whose market value can increase significantly for underlying fundamental reasons.” This suggests that the bank believes Bitcoin may be undervalued compared to its fundamentals.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

 JPMorgan Chase also hinted that it might eventually introduce Bitcoin services. JPMorgan’s co-president Daniel Pinto believes that if investors and asset managers start using Bitcoin, the bank “will have to be involved.” Pinto however said that the current demand was not strong enough, but conceded it may grow in the future.

Even though Bitcoin has risen sharply in the past few months, its dominance has fallen from about 69.71% on Jan. 4 to 60.9% currently. This shows that altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin in the past few weeks. With an eye on altcoins, let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may trend in the next few days.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin broke above the $41,959.63 resistance on Feb. 8 with a strong up-move, but since then, the momentum has weakened. Although the price has been nudging higher, the leading cryptocurrency is facing profit-booking at intermittent levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the current levels and slips below $46,000, the correction could deepen to the strong support at $41,959.63. If the BTC/USD pair rebounds off this support, it will suggest the bulls continue to accumulate on dips, which is a sign that the uptrend is intact.

The bulls will then try to drive the price above the psychological barrier at $50,000 and resume the uptrend with the next target objective at $60,974.43. On the other hand, if the bears sink the price below the 20-day exponential moving average ($41,349), the pair may drop to the 50-day simple moving average ($36,070).

This is an important support to watch out for because the price has not dipped below the 50-day SMA since Oct. 9. Hence, a break below it will indicate a possible change in trend. The next support on the downside is much lower at $28,850.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows the pair has formed a rising wedge pattern that will complete on a breakdown and close below the support line. If that happens, the pair may drop to $43,720.85 and then to $41,959.63.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current levels or the 20-EMA and rises above the wedge, it will invalidate the bearish setup. A breakout above $50,000 could attract short-covering from the aggressive bears and may result in a quick up-move to $55,000.

BCH/USD

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) broke above the $539 resistance on Feb. 12 and this attracted buying from the bulls. The altcoin picked up momentum and soared above the $631.71 resistance on Feb. 13

BCH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long wick on today’s candlestick suggests short-term traders may be booking profits after the recent runup. The BCH/USD pair may now correct to $631.71 and if the bulls can flip this level into support, it will indicate buying on every minor dip.

If the bulls can push the price above $730.02, the uptrend could reach $900. Both moving averages are sloping up and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the overbought zone, suggesting an advantage to the bulls.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price dips and sustains below $631.71, the correction could deepen to $539.

BCH/USD 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows the bears are defending the $720 resistance and the bulls are buying on dips to $650. If the buyers can propel the price above $730.02, the uptrend could resume.

On the other hand, if the price again turns down from $720, the bears will try to pull the price down to $631.71. If this support cracks, the decline could extend to the 20-EMA and then to the 50-SMA.

EOS/USD

EOS broke out of the long basing formation and started a new uptrend when it soared above the $3.95 overhead resistance on Feb. 9. The altcoin picked up momentum and the bulls pushed the price above the $5.4861 resistance on Feb. 13.

EOS/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the failure to sustain the price above $5.4861 may have attracted profit-booking from the short-term traders. This has started a correction that could extend to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $4.5014.

If the price rebounds off this level, the bulls will again try to push and sustain the price above the $5.4861 to $5.6118 overhead resistance. Contrary to this assumption, if the bears sink the price below $4.5014, the EOS/USD pair could drop to $3.95.

Such a deep correction will suggest that the momentum has weakened and the pair could then consolidate in a wide range between $3.95 and $5.6118 for a few days.

EOS/USD 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows that the bulls have purchased the dip to the 20-EMA. If the pair sustains the rebound, the bulls will again try to push the price above $5.6118. If they succeed, the uptrend could resume.

The next target objective on the upside is $6 and if that level is also scaled, the uptrend could reach $7.50. On the other hand, a break below the 20-EMA could extend the correction to the 50-SMA.

XMR/USD

Monero (XMR) broke above the $190 resistance on Feb. 12 and resumed the uptrend. The 20-day EMA ($174) has turned up and the RSI has moved into overbought territory, which suggests the bulls are in command.

XMR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are currently defending the psychological level at $250. The first support on the downside is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 213.6152. If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity.

A break above $254.45 will open the doors for a rally to $300 where the bears may again mount a stiff resistance.

Contrary to this assumption, if the bears sink the price below $213.6152, the correction may deepen to $190. Such a deep fall may delay the start of the next leg of the uptrend.

XMR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows the bears are defending the $240 to $254.45 resistance zone but the positive sign is that the bulls have not given up much ground. If the price rises from the current level or rebounds off the 20-EMA, it will signal strength.

If the bulls can push the price above the overhead resistance, a rally to $268 and then to $300 is likely. This bullish view will invalidate if the XMR/USD pair dips and closes below the 20-EMA.

XTZ/USD

Tezos (XTZ) broke above the previous all-time high at $4.4936 on Feb. 12 and has made a new high at $5.6471 today. Whenever an asset hits a new high, it indicates that bulls are in control.

XTZ/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Another thing that usually happens when a major resistance is broken is that the price turns down and retests the breakout level. In this case, the price could dip to the breakout level at $4.4936.

If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that traders are buying on dips and have flipped the previous resistance to support. The bulls will then attempt to resume the uptrend by pushing the price above $5.6471.

If they succeed, the XTZ/USD pair could rally to $7.1407. This bullish view will invalidate if the pair breaks and sustains below $4.4936.

XTZ/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows that the bulls could not sustain the price above $5.40, which may have attracted profit-booking from short-term traders. The bulls are currently attempting to defend the 20-EMA.

If the price rebounds off this support, it will signal strength. A break above $5.6471 may resume the up-move. On the other hand, if the price dips below the 20-EMA and the $4.4936 support, the correction could deepen to the 50-SMA.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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