Powered by the people: 3 altcoins whose tweet volume spiked before a strong rally

In some cases, unusually high tweet volume can signal that an asset is about to soar, but traders should mind the context.

On Crypto Twitter, a surge of attention directed at a coin often comes in response to dramatic price action. Quite naturally, rallying assets attract the attention of traders and take over Twitter conversations, which can also create positive feedback loops that further prop up the momentum.

This is exactly what happened with some of the coins that saw a greater increase in average daily tweet volume this month, compared with the last. KuCoin Shares (KCS), which went up from $7.40 on July 4 to $14.20 on July 14, generated a staggering increase in average tweet volume, totaling more than 1,100% month-to-month.

Another big winner in terms of price, Axie Infinity (AXS), added 456% in tweet volume over the same period. In both cases, tweets mirrored the rallies’ dynamics, with the tweet volume curve closely following the price chart.

In other cases, however, the relationship can be reversed. Sometimes, the Twitter crowd picks up the news or emerging narratives that the wider market has yet to absorb, producing tweet volume spikes that come before price increases. Is there a way for traders to spot these dynamics early enough to gain an edge over the rest of the pack?

Data intelligence for early birds

Tweet volume is one of several metrics used to calculate the VORTECS™ score, an algorithmic indicator that compares complex patterns of market and social activity of an individual digital asset to years’ worth of historical data.

Exclusively available to Cointelegraph Markets Pro (CTMP) subscribers, the algorithm assesses parameters such as the market outlook, price movement, social sentiment and trading activity to generate a score that shows how suitable conditions of the observed combinations are for any coin at any given time.

On top of that, there is a dedicated space on the Markets Pro dashboard featuring assets that see abnormal tweet volume in real-time. Once they are alerted that something is brewing around a coin on Twitter, traders can be incentivized to take a closer look at the asset and make a judgment as to whether its price is likely to go up soon.

Here are three examples from the last thirty days where Twitter activity foreshadowed price action.

Crypto.com Coin

CRO’s Price vs VORTECS™ chart. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

In the case of Crypto.com Coin (CRO), the source of Twitter users’ excitement is crystal clear: A few hours before the coin flashed on Markets Pro’s Unusual Twitter Volume box (red circle in the chart), it emerged that CRO became the first digital asset platform to partner with the Ultimate Fighting Championship, or UFC. The announcement was also delivered to Markets Pro users seconds after the original source published it, thanks to the platform’s instantaneous NewsQuakes™ functionality.

Unsurprisingly, the big news triggered a sprawling Twitter conversation. If traders had not been convinced by NewsQuake™ and coin’s rising VORTECS™ score, the skyrocketing tweet volume could be the final argument in favor of opening a CRO position. The coin had been valued at $0.113 when tweet volume peaked on July 8, and it kept climbing in the next four days, eventually hitting $0.132 before the price began to decline.

Quantstamp

QSP’s Price vs VORTECS™ chart. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

Establishing what had triggered the surge of tweets referencing Quantstamp (QSP) around June 1 is less straightforward. One potential reason could be the launch of oneFIL, a stablecoin for the Filecoin community, around that time.

The protocol behind oneFIL is audited by Quantstamp. While QSP generates just a handful of Twitter mentions per day, on July 1 it got over 150 tweets, immediately putting it on the Markets Pro radar (red circle in the graph). While the peak tweet volume corresponded to the QSP price of $0.030, the coin pulled off a strong performance in the following days, reaching $0.034 on July 4, continuing to push further.

Flow Dapper Labs

FLOW’s Price vs VORTECS™ chart. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

Flow Dapper Lab’s (FLOW’s) peak tweet volume came late on July 10 (red circle in the graph) in response to a highly successful week that the asset had, more than doubling its price from $9 to over $18.

A high VORTECS™ score that FLOW received some 50 hours earlier indicated that in the past, such rallies unfolded in several rounds and that historical precedent suggested a possibility of the second leg. Sure enough, the price kept climbing even after the wave of tweets began to recede, eventually hitting $21.20

These examples demonstrate that, while an onslaught of tweets alone is not always a harbinger of an impending rally, spotting abnormal Twitter activity early on can lead to a profitable trade. It can be especially useful when combined with other metrics and a robust understanding of the coin-specific context.

Disclaimer. Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing or as otherwise specified. Live-tested strategies are not recommendations. Consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions. Full terms and conditions.

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Weekly roundup: Ark Invest, Edge Wealth Management, and Rothschild Investment accumulate crypto

Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest purchased more than 450,000 GBTC shares in two separate buys this week.

As the price of Bitcoin returned to more than $32,000 this week, some major firms announced they had increased their exposure to cryptocurrencies through Grayscale’s crypto trusts.

According to a Friday filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, New York-based investment firm Edge Wealth Management currently holds 54,134 shares of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), valued at $27.13 at the time of publication, and 25,280 shares of the company’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE). The crypto holdings are worth almost $2 million at $1,468,655 and $466,668, respectively, roughly 0.3% of the $703 million total assets under management the company reported on Feb. 2.

Grayscale’s crypto trusts are not new investment opportunities for Edge. The investment firm held 37,605 GBTC and 17,300 ETHE shares in April, representing increases of 44% and 46%, respectively.

Some institutions’ exposure to Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and other cryptocurrencies through Grayscale have increased as digital currencies seemingly play a larger role in the global economy. Similar filings with the SEC show Rothschild Investment Corp quadrupled its exposure to Bitcoin through Grayscale, owning 38,346 GBTC shares in April and 141,405 GBTC as of June 30. With a reported more than $1 billion in assets under management as of April 8, the Bitcoin trust shares represent less than 0.09% of the investment firm’s holdings.

However, Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest is continuing to purchase GBTC shares at higher rate than the two aforementioned companies. This week, the investment firm reported it purchased more than 450,000 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust in two separate buys, bringing its combined holdings to more than 9 million shares, or roughly 0.5% of its portfolio. At its peak in March, GBTC represented 0.9% of Ark’s portfolio.

Related: Grayscale ‘100% committed’ to turning GBTC into Bitcoin ETF — CEO

“The investment community continues to express interest in the digital currency asset class, and the crypto ecosystem more broadly, and as these assets gain mainstream adoption, we anticipate investors will seek new ways to access digital currencies to further diversify their portfolios,” said Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein in a letter to investors.

The reports of GBTC purchases come the same week Grayscale unlocked 16,240 BTC worth of its Bitcoin Trust shares after six months. Though there was some speculation the price of the crypto asset could be adversely affected by such a large release in a single day, BTC saw a roughly 2.9% increase in price week-over-week and reached $32,457 at the time of publication.

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No, Jack Dorsey isn’t trolling ETH by making its logo the Ethiopian flag

“Great to see Jack and the crypto community supporting the #ETH athletes!” the Official Olympics account posted earlier today after Ethereum got a new ‘logo’.

Crypto Twitter was united in amusement today when the hashtag #eth began to automatically show the Ethiopian flag as the Ethereum ‘logo’.

Given Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey’s love of Bitcoin and the fact Bitcoin has its own Twitter icon many wondered if Dorsey was subtly trolling Ethereum (ETH). After all he’s a staunch Bitcoin (BTC) maximalist that has refused to consider buying into ETH and other altcoins on multiple occasions and has repeatedly stated that Bitcoin will become the internet’s native currency.

The Twitter and Square founder certainly saw the funny side of it, Tweeting “#eth”  which drew the attention of the official Olympics account which said it was “great to see Jack and the crypto community supporting the #ETH athletes!”

Twitter influencer Crypto Cobain also found the funny side and tweeted “HAHA” to his 403,400 followers that “this is perfect.”

NFL footballer Sean Culkin, who is converting his entire 2021 NFL salary into Bitcoin, wondered why so many people were “not realizing its a troll”

Bitcoiners such as “Bitcoin Meme Hub” jumped in the joke by posting fake Tweets from Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin supposedly stating that “this is not funny Jack.”

Hashflags

In fact, the Ethiopian flag had nothing to do with Ethereum at all. The social media platform has been attaching flags to hashtags of nations competing in the 2021 Tokyo Olympics. The promotion is part of a ‘hashflags‘ campaign that the platform also did for the 2016 Olympics in Rio De Janeiro.

Related: Aave founder hints at developing ‘Twitter on Ethereum’

Interestingly the Twitter CEO used the Ethiopian flag to promote Bitcoin earlier this year, after he retweeted lobbying efforts from a group of Ethiopian-based entrepreneurs dubbed “Project Mano” who were urging their government to consider mining and hodling BTC.

Dorsey this week spoke at “The ₿ Word,” — a virtual Bitcoin event alongside Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood. During the event, Dorsey outlined his hope that Bitcoin “creates world peace or helps create world peace.”

“We have all these monopolies off balance and the individual doesn’t have power and the amount of cost and distraction that comes from our monetary system today is real and it takes away attention from the bigger problems,” he said as he emphasized Bitcoin’s potential for solving financial inequality.

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Record network activity and a second NFT boom send WAX price higher

WAXP price appears to be gaining strength after the NFT-focused project introduced staking, yield farming and partnerships with companies that offer pop culture collectibles.

Just a few days before Bitcoin (BTC) price plunged below $30,000, the NFT sector was dominating headlines for the second time in 2021, led by a month-long 972% surge in the price of Axie Infinity

Another NFT-focused protocol that has been gaining fundamental strength in recent months is Worldwide Asset eXchange, also known as WAX — a protocol that claims to “deliver the safest and most convenient way to create, buy, sell, and trade virtual items to anyone, anywhere in the world.”

WAX/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that between June 27 and July 9, the price of WAX’s WAXP token climbed 70% to a high of $0.151 before the Bitcoin-led sell-off pulled the price to its current value of $0.11.

Three reasons for the rally in WAXP include the growing list of well-known brands launching collectibles on the project’s blockchain, an active network with fast transaction times and its integration to decentralized finance via cross-chain compatibility with the Ethereum (ETH) network.

Popular brands launch NFT projects on WAX

Nostalgia can be a potent source for attracting an audience willing to engage with a product and WAX has managed to capitalize on this by partnering with somewell-known brands in the United States.

Current partners include Atari, Topps, William Shatner and Capcom and a scroll through the project’s Twitter feed shows recent campaigns for Street Fighter V Series 2 cards and special edition Bratz collectibles.

Popular collectibles like baseball cards and Garbage Pail Kids, along with more modern games like Alien Worlds (TLM) offer users a variety of options that help attract a wide audience to the WAX network and this has resulted in an increase in on-chain activity.

WAX boasts the highest activity of any network

A second sign of the growing strength of the WAX network can be found by looking at the 24-hour activity of the top-ranked blockchains, which WAX leads by a wide margin.

Top 6 most active blockchain networks. Source: Blocktivity

Data from Blocktivity shows that the 24-hour activity on WAX is now higher than 17 million operations and more than double that of Stellar (XLM), which is its closest competitor. WAX  more than six times the amount of activity on EOS, the creator of the EOSIO software which is utilized by the WAX network.

Yield opportunities arrive through DeFi and staking

The recent introduction of a cross-chain bridge to the Ethereum network allowed WAX to of yield farming and staking on the protocol, which has been enhanced through the introduction of a cross-chain bridge to the Ethereum network.

The WAX blockchain operates with a delegated proof-of-stake consensus model, meaning the simplest way that token holders can earn a yield on their holdings is by staking WAXP on the network to earn an annualized reward rate of 4.42% according to data from Staking Rewards.

Related: Altcoin Roundup: Data shows social metrics surge ahead of DeFi and NFT price rallies

Token holders can also convert their WAXP into WAXE, a version of the token that can operate on Ethereum and be used to participate in decentralized finance (DeFi) by providing liquidity on decentralized exchanges and yield farms.

Through offering opportunities related to NFTs and DeFi, two of the hottest sectors in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, the WAX network is well-positioned to continue to attract new users and maintain a high level of on-chain activity.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Auditors reveal USDC backing as Jim Cramer sounds alarm over Tether’s mad money

Grant Horton has conducted an audit on USDC’s reserves and Jim Cramer has questioned what’s going on with Tether’s commercial paper reserves.

Auditors working for Circle have disclosed the reserves backing the firm’s USDC stablecoin, while Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has questioned Tether’s lack of transparency with its USDT reserves.

Multi-national tax advisory firm Grant Horton conducted the audit, and a reserve attestation report was published on July 20 which showed that 61% of USDC’s reserves were held in cash and cash equivalents equating to $13.4 billion, as of May 28.

Circle’s total commercial paper accounts for 9% of its reserves, and the figures provide a stark contrast to Tether’s reserves, in which undisclosed commercial paper accounted for 49.5% of its total reserves — something that Cramer has been “sounding the alarm” about recently.

The Circle report defines cash as deposits at banks and Government Obligation Money Market Funds, while cash equivalents are defined as securities with an original maturity less than or equal to 90 days.

On May 28 there was 22,176,182,251 total USDC in circulation, with the total fair value of Circle’s U.S. dollar-denominated assets held in segregated accounts fully backing the supply of USDC according to the report.

Circle noted that it voluntarily disclosed its reserves as part of its transparency goals, with the firm revealing plans to go public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) earlier this month.

USDC Reserve Breakdown: Circle

‘Yankee CDs’ and US Treasures represented the next biggest share of assets backing the reserves at 13% and 12% each, with a combined total value of $5.6 billion.

Yankee CDs are defined as “USD denominated Certificates of Deposit issued in the US by branch(es) of Foreign Banking Organizations,” with a maximum maturity of 13 months, while the U.S treasuries have a maximum maturity of three years.

The total commercial paper allocations represent 9% worth $2 billion, corporate bonds account for 5% worth $1.1 billion, and municipal bonds and U.S. agencies comprise 0.2% worth $100 million.

Circle’s USDC reserve breakdown was published amid increased scrutiny on the stablecoin sector from the U.S. government, with United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen meeting with other financial regulators this week to discuss a regulatory framework for stablecoins.

Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire emphasized in a July 20 blog post that the firm is committed to providing transparency of its operations and working within the traditional financial system:

“Core economic activities underpinning USDC are built inside the perimeter of the U.S. financial system, and not outside of it.”

Jim Cramer thinks Tether is Mad Money

Speaking during a July 20 interview with The Street, Jim Cramer, the host of CNBC’s Mad Money questioned Tether’s lack of transparency and is asking why the firm hasn’t disclosed what the large percentage of commercial paper backing USDT is.

Tether released a brief reserve breakdown on May 13 and did not mention any independent review conducted on behalf of the firm.

Tether’s reserve breakdown showed that as of March 31, three-quarters of its reserves were held in cash, cash equivalents, other short-term deposits, and commercial paper. Amongst that category, commercial paper accounted for 65.39%, with cash alone accounting for just 3.87%.

Related: Stablecoins under scrutiny: USDT stands by ‘commercial paper’ tether

The firm is yet to reveal what comprises its commercial paper holdings, and Cramer has been sounding the alarm bells:

“I am concerned about Tether, and I’m not gonna stop sounding the alarm until I know what Tether has. They’ve got about $60 billion in commercial paper. Tether open up the kimono, what commercial paper do you own?”

“Why wouldn’t they tell us?” he added, as he questioned whether the SEC will step in to find out.

“There’s a belief that a lot of the commercial bank paper, is Chinese bank paper, why not put that to rest and tell us it isn’t?” he said.

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